Movie Talk: 90th Academy Awards Predictions

Welcome to another episode of moviemanMDG’s Movie Talk, where I talk about everything film-related.  It is that time of year again, ladies and gentlemen.  It is officially Oscar weekend, and every moviegoer is rooting for their favorite film (or celebrity) to take home the gold.  The 90th Academy Awards ceremony will air on Sunday night on ABC, so before then, I will be sharing my brief predictions on who will take home the Oscar and who might pull off an upset.  As always, my predictions will be based on the results of the Golden Globes, the Critics’ Choice Awards, and more importantly, my gut.  If you’re wondering why I’m posting this right now, let’s just say that all work and no play makes me a dull boy.  With that said, here are my official predictions for this year’s Academy Awards.


Best Picture
-Call Me by Your Name
-Darkest Hour
-Dunkirk
-Get Out
-Lady Bird
-Phantom Thread
-The Post
-The Shape of Water
-Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri


Will Win: The Shape of Water


Might Win: Three Billboards




Best Director
-Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)
-Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)
-Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread)
-Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
-Jordan Peele (Get Out)


Will Win: Guillermo del Toro


Might Win: Christopher Nolan




Best Actor
-Timothée Chalamet (Call Me by Your Name)
-Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
-Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
-Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
-Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.)


Will Win: Gary Oldman


Might Win: Daniel Kaluuya




Best Actress
-Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
-Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
-Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
-Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
-Meryl Streep (The Post)


Will Win: Frances McDormand


Might Win: Sally Hawkins




Best Supporting Actor
-Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
-Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
-Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
-Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World)
-Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)


Will Win: Sam Rockwell


Might Win: Woody Harrelson




Best Supporting Actress
-Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)
-Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
-Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread)
-Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
-Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)


Will Win: Allison Janney


Might Win: Laurie Metcalf




Best Original Screenplay
-The Big Sick
-Get Out
-Lady Bird
-The Shape of Water
-Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri


Will Win: Three Billboards


Might Win: Get Out






Best Adapted Screenplay
-Call Me by Your Name
-The Disaster Artist
-Logan
-Molly’s Game
-Mudbound


Will Win: Call Me by Your Name


Might Win: Molly’s Game




Best Cinematography
-Blade Runner 2049
-Darkest Hour
-Dunkirk
-Mudbound
-The Shape of Water


Will Win: Blade Runner 2049


Might Win: The Shape of Water




Best Production Design
-Beauty and the Beast
-Blade Runner 2049
-Darkest Hour
-Dunkirk
-The Shape of Water


Will Win: The Shape of Water


Might Win: Dunkirk




Best Film Editing
-Baby Driver
-Dunkirk
-I, Tonya
-The Shape of Water
-Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri


Will Win: Baby Driver


Might Win: The Shape of Water




Best Costume Design
-Beauty and the Beast
-Darkest Hour
-Phantom Thread
-The Shape of Water
-Victoria & Abdul


Will Win: Phantom Thread


Might Win: Darkest Hour




Best Hair and Makeup
-Darkest Hour
-Victoria & Abdul
-Wonder


Will Win: Darkest Hour


Might Win: Wonder




Best Visual Effects
-Blade Runner 2049
-Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
-Kong: Skull Island
-Star Wars: The Last Jedi
-War for the Planet of the Apes


Will Win: War for the Planet of the Apes


Might Win: Blade Runner 2049




Best Animated Feature Film
-The Boss Baby
-The Breadwinner
-Coco
-Ferdinand
-Loving Vincent


Will Win: Coco


Might Win: The Breadwinner




Best Original Score
-Dunkirk
-Phantom Thread
-The Shape of Water
-Star Wars: The Last Jedi
-Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri


Will Win: The Shape of Water


Might Win: Phantom Thread




Best Original Song
-“Mighty River” (Mudbound)
-“Mystery of Love” (Call Me by Your Name)
-“Remember Me” (Coco)
-“Stand Up for Something” (Marshall)
-“This is Me” (The Greatest Showman)


Will Win: “Remember Me” (Coco)


Might Win: “This is Me” (The Greatest Showman)




Best Foreign Language Film
-A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
-The Insult (Lebanon)
-Loveless (Russia)
-On Body and Soul (Hungary)
-The Square (Sweden)


Will Win: A Fantastic Woman


Might Win: The Square




Best Documentary - Feature
-Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
-Faces Places
-Icarus
-Last Men in Aleppo
-Strong Island


Will Win: Last Men in Aleppo


Might Win: Icarus




Best Documentary - Short Subject
-Edith+Eddie
-Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405
-Heroin(e)
-Knife Skills
-Traffic Stop


Will Win: Heroin(e)


Might Win: Edith+Eddie




Best Live Action Short Film
-DeKalb Elementary
-The Eleven O’Clock
-My Nephew Emmett
-The Silent Child
-Watu Wote/All of Us


Will Win: DeKalb Elementary


Might Win: The Silent Child




Best Animated Short Film
-Dear Basketball
-Garden Party
-Lou
-Negative Space
-Revolting Rhymes


Will Win: Lou


Might Win: Dear Basketball




Best Sound Editing
-Baby Driver
-Blade Runner 2049
-Dunkirk
-The Shape of Water
-Star Wars: The Last Jedi


Will Win: Baby Driver


Might Win: Dunkirk




Best Sound Mixing
-Baby Driver
-Blade Runner 2049
-Dunkirk
-The Shape of Water
-Star Wars: The Last Jedi


Will Win: Baby Driver


Might Win: Dunkirk






For those who are planning on watching the Oscars on Sunday, wish these nominees the best of luck because they’ll need it.  You know I will.